黑龙江旅游资源及开发利用

黑龙江旅游资源丰富，通过对黑龙江旅游资源特征的研究，提出开发利用旅游资源，发展黑龙江旅游业的基本对策。     

期权定价理论在技术商品定价中的应用探讨

技术商品不同于一般商品 ,具有报酬无限、风险有限的特性 ,尤其与支付红利的美式看涨期权特点极为相似。应用传统的资产评估方法为技术商品定价 ,其结果很难真实反映技术商品的价值。期权定价理论为技术商品的科学定价提供了一种新思路 ,特别是支付红利的美式看涨期权定价模型对解决技术商品价值评估有参考价值     

Bayesian analysis of mixture modelling using the multivariate t distribution

A finite mixture model using the multivariate t distribution has been shown as a robust extension of normal mixtures. In this paper, we present a Bayesian approach for inference about parameters of t-mixture models. The specifications of prior distributions are weakly informative to avoid causing nonintegrable posterior distributions. We present two efficient EM-type algorithms for computing the joint posterior mode with the observed data and an incomplete future vector as the sample. Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling schemes are also developed to obtain the target posterior distribution of parameters. The advantages of Bayesian approach over the maximum likelihood method are demonstrated via a set of real data.     

充分发挥高校BBS思想政治教育功效的思考

高校BBS的兴起为高校的思想政治工作开辟了前所未有的广阔空间.准确分析高校BBS的现状及特点,充分认识BBS对当代大学生思想意识、价值取向、性格以及心理素质等方面的影响,扬长避短,趋利避害,采取积极的工作措施,充分发挥BBS思想政治教育功效具有十分重要的意义.     

错误的繁盛:复辟笼罩下之大众文化探析——以"文明戏"为案例

本文从大众文化的视角,选取了一段典型的时期、一个典型的案例,来探讨娱乐和政治、精英文化与大众文化的关系.尽管政治波谲云诡,但并未阻断上海日渐兴起的大众文化发展之链条,"文明戏"是其一首要环节.娱乐疏离于政治,却又包含颠覆政治的因素.走出古典之后的知识人,就部分被吸引到大众文化的制造之中.在各种文化冲突中,"文明戏"成为替罪羔羊,被不断地想象和重构.     

Significant Factors of Aviation Insurance and Risk Management Strategy: An Empirical Study of Taiwanese Airline Carriers

Aviation insurance premiums have become a heavy burden for the airline industry since September 11, 2001. Although the industry must constantly balance its operations between profitability and safety, the reality is that airlines are in the business of making money. Therefore, their ability to reduce cost and manage risk is a key factor for success. Unlike past research, which used subjective judgment methods, this study applied quantitative historical data (1999–2000) and gray relation analysis to identify the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance premiums. An empirical study of six airlines in Taiwan was conducted to determine these factors and to analyze the management strategies used to deal with them. Results showed that the loss experience and performance of individual airlines were the key elements associated with aviation insurance premiums paid by each airline. By identifying and understanding the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance, airlines will better understand their relative operational strengths and weaknesses, and further help top management identify areas for further improvement. Knowledge of these factors combined with effective risk management strategies, may result in lower premiums and operating costs for airline companies.     

空间关系对港口地位及运作模式调整的影响——上海与宁波两港发展的比较

就港口的空间关系而言,近代以来,上海与宁波两港大致经历了枢纽港-支线港到枢纽港-大型深水直挂港的转变,而且未来还极有可能会形成双枢纽港的运作模式;双方的这种关系尽管是多方面因素综合作用的结果,但总体而言,自然条件与经济发展规律的共同作用应是其中的最为关键性的原因.如果未来的上海港与宁渡港之间真能形成一种双枢纽港的运行模式,那么.不仅长江三角洲地区港口体系的运作合力会得到有效的发挥与展示,而且也必将会提升我国的港口在全球港口体系中的竞争实力与地位.     

从贵州省第六届民运会看贵州少数民族体育的发展

通过对贵州省第六届民运会的实地调查及与历届全国民运会和贵州省民运会的比较分析,并提出了值得思考的对策,旨在促进贵州少数民族体育的发展,为当好第九届全国民运会东道主做好准备.     

关于国际恐怖主义犯罪非政治化问题的探讨

从国际法角度,对国际恐怖主义犯罪非政治化的理论和实践问题进行了探讨,进而指出“非政治化”的未来发展趋向。     

论苗族刺绣及其传承

苗族刺绣已被列入首批国家级非物质文化遗产，具有鲜明的艺术特色，但由于受传承方式等的影响，苗绣有濒临失传危机。因此，必须采取多种措施，强化苗绣的保护传承和开发利用。